GROUP INDEPENDENCE · RESEARCH NOTE

Why ask before showing the split?

Seeing other answers can change the information a group produces. The scientific argument is nuanced; the product principle is simple: collect the first take before revealing the aggregate.

Social information narrowed a crowd’s diversity.

Lorenz and colleagues gave 144 participants factual numerical estimation tasks. Some participants later saw aggregate or fuller information about other estimates. In the reported conditions, social information narrowed response diversity without improving collective error, while confidence increased.

The finding matters because collective estimates can depend on the diversity and independence of their inputs. Convergence can look reassuring without creating a better collective answer.

Read the evidence literally.

Researchers studied

Numerical estimates with objectively assessable answers.

They observed

Reduced diversity after social information, without improved collective error in the reported experiment.

They did not establish

That preference groups have correct answers, or that every social cue harms every decision.

Product translation

Let each participant commit before exposing the room’s aggregate split.

The interpretation received a published challenge.

Farrell’s reanalysis argued that social information benefited individual estimates. The original authors replied that individual improvement can coexist with reduced collective diversity. Showing both publications matters: “better individual estimate” and “healthier collective information” are not always the same claim.

ViewsMeet preferences have no correct group answer.

Group Picks asks low-stakes either-or preferences, not factual estimation questions. It cannot claim to make a group wiser, representative, democratic, or scientifically valid. The defensible translation is narrower: hidden first responses prevent the displayed split from becoming the first prompt.

ASK FIRST · REVEAL SECOND

Open the split at three.

Group Picks lets everyone answer the same frozen set independently. Question-level aggregates appear only after three retained responses; individual answer sheets never appear.

Create a five-question room →

Original sources and published exchange.